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Scrape Timestamp (UTC): 2025-01-06 03:30:39.435

Source: https://www.theregister.com/2025/01/06/taiwan_china_submarine_cable_claim/

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Taiwan reportedly claims China-linked ship damaged one of its submarine cables. More evidence of Beijing’s liking for grey zone warfare, or a murky claim with odd African entanglements?. Taiwanese authorities have asserted that a China-linked ship entered its waters and damaged a submarine cable. Local media reports, and the Financial Times report that a vessel named Shunxing 39 called in the Taiwanese port of Keelung last Friday, and as it left damaged a submarine cable operated by Taiwanese carrier Chungwa Telecom as it steamed towards South Korea. Chungwa Telecom has apparently said just four fibers were impacted, and its redundancy plans mean connectivity wasn’t disrupted. Taiwanese media has quoted a local security expert who believes the incident was deliberate, and suggested the ship’s true owner is a Chinese national. Unnamed sources at Taiwan’s coast guard have reportedly supported that theory. Local port authorities tried to have a word with Shunxing 39’s officers but couldn’t catch up with it in heavy seas. The FT reports that Taiwan hopes South Korean authorities can help once the cargo craft arrives there. The incident follows the November 2024 allegation that a Chinese vessel deliberately cut submarine cables in the Baltic Sea, and comes as concerns rise about “grey zone warfare” - the practice of harming geopolitical rivals in ways that are hard to tie directly to a sovereign state’s actions. Damaging submarine cables, the world’s essential digital arteries, is a classic grey zone tactic as halting or slowing data flows can hurt a nation but proving the identity of attackers is hard given the links lie on the sea floor and nonstop surveillance of ships is difficult to achieve. Attacks on submarine cables are therefore nearly always plausibly deniable. That's the case here as it's difficult to nail down details of this incident as while numerous reports claim Shunxing 39 is registered in Cameroon, shipping databases list the vessel as Tanzanian. Evidence of the ship being owned by a Chinese national is also not immediately apparent. What is not in doubt, however, is that China regards Taiwan as a rogue province that must reunify with the mainland and that Beijing has used its military to conduct many manoeuvres that demonstrate its ability to potentially disrupt shipping. In 2023, Taiwanese authorities claimed that Chinese ships accidentally-on-purpose damaged submarine cables to its outlying islands. Taiwan’s status as the home of chipmaker TSMC, the world’s most sophisticated such concern, means the USA and other nations fear Chinese action could disrupt the supply of critical semiconductors needed to train AI models and put them to work. Beijing would not mind it if rival nations couldn’t access TSMC tech, as it’s more sophisticated (for now) than product China’s domestic chipmakers can create. The prospect of a kinetic war over semiconductors remains unlikely, but tensions remain high in the Taiwan Strait and this incident won’t ease them.

Daily Brief Summary

NATION STATE ACTIVITY // Suspected Chinese Vessel Damages Taiwan's Submarine Cable

Taiwanese authorities report that a vessel possibly linked to China, named Shunxing 39, damaged a submarine cable owned by Chungwa Telecom while departing Keelung port.

The incident damaged only four fibers of the cable; however, Chungwa Telecom's redundancy plans prevented disruption in connectivity.

Local security experts and unnamed sources from the Taiwanese coast guard suggest the ship's actions were deliberate, and the vessel may be owned by a Chinese national.

After the incident, Taiwanese port authorities attempted to contact the Shunxing 39 but were unable to due to heavy seas; they now seek cooperation from South Korean authorities.

This event coincides with heightened concerns over "grey zone warfare," where countries indirectly harm each other in ways that are difficult to attribute directly to state actions.

This is the second such incident involving Chinese vessels allegedly targeting submarine cables, following a similar claim in the Baltic Sea in November 2024.

The geopolitical tension in the Taiwan Strait continues to escalate, especially with Taiwan's crucial role in the global semiconductor industry and the strategic implications for major powers like the USA.